TL;DR
President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 39% in a recent NBC poll, marking his lowest since his first term. The decline reflects growing concerns over the economy and shifting voter support ahead of the midterms.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 39%, according to a new NBC News poll released on June 14, marking the lowest level of his second term and signaling potential challenges for Republican efforts in the upcoming midterm elections.
The NBC poll, which surveyed 2,400 registered voters, shows Trump’s approval rating at 39%, a decline from previous levels and the lowest since his first term. The survey was conducted from May 29 to June 7, with a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points.
Among registered voters, support for Trump has decreased notably among rural Americans, with approval dropping from 60% in February 2025 to 50% in June, according to recent Reuters/Ipsos polling. The decline is attributed to disapproval of his handling of the economy and rising living costs amid ongoing economic uncertainty and global tensions.
Despite these shifts, a significant majority of Republican voters continue to support Trump, with 82% approving of his performance as president—58% strongly—though this is slightly down from 88% approval in March. The poll also indicates that 49% of registered voters favor Democrats controlling Congress in November, compared to 44% for Republicans.
Impact of Low Approval on Midterm Elections
The decline in President Trump’s approval rating to 39% could influence Republican candidate performance in the midterm elections, especially as voter sentiment shifts amid economic concerns and political dynamics. While GOP support remains strong among party voters, broader national support appears to be waning, potentially affecting overall election outcomes and the balance of power in Congress.
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Recent Trends and Voter Sentiment Leading Up to Midterms
The NBC poll’s findings come amid a period of economic turbulence, with Americans facing rising gas and grocery prices linked to global tensions, including conflicts involving Iran. Historically, presidential approval ratings tend to decline during midterm election years, especially amid economic uncertainty, and recent polling indicates Democrats are gaining ground in voter preference for Congress. Support among rural voters for Trump has also declined, reflecting discontent over economic issues.
Previous polls during Trump’s first term showed similar dips during crises, but the current ratings are the lowest in his second term, signaling a potential shift in voter sentiment and party support.
“These are rocky numbers for Republicans, but they are not catastrophic.”
— an anonymous researcher
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Unclear Impact of Approval Decline on Election Outcomes
It is not yet clear how Trump’s approval rating decline will translate into actual voting behavior in the midterms, or how it will influence Republican candidate performance or overall party strategies.
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Upcoming Campaign Developments and Poll Monitoring
As the midterm elections approach, political analysts will closely monitor voter sentiment, candidate campaigns, and further polling data to assess how approval ratings impact electoral outcomes. Key battleground states and districts remain critical areas to watch for shifts in support.
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Key Questions
What does a 39% approval rating mean for Trump?
A 39% approval rating indicates that a minority of the surveyed voters currently support Trump’s performance as president, which could pose challenges for his influence within the Republican Party and impact candidate support in upcoming elections.
How does this approval rating compare to previous polls?
This is the lowest approval rating recorded for Trump in a NBC poll during his second term, comparable to his ratings during crises in his first term, but notably lower than recent levels in March 2026.
Will this rating affect Trump’s political influence?
While support among Republican voters remains high, the overall decline could influence his ability to sway broader voter groups and shape campaign strategies ahead of the midterms.
What factors are contributing to this decline?
Economic concerns, rising living costs, and global tensions are cited as reasons for declining approval, alongside voter dissatisfaction with handling of domestic issues.
What are the implications for the midterm elections?
The approval rating decline suggests potential challenges for Republican candidates, but party support remains strong within the base. The overall impact will depend on voter turnout and campaign dynamics in the coming months.
Source: Google Trends
