TL;DR
Trump Media has scaled back its plans for Truth Predict, now framing it as a limited promotional effort with OG.com rather than a full-fledged prediction market. The project remains in development, with details still unclear.
Trump Media has officially scaled back its plans for its own prediction market, now describing the initiative as a limited “marketing and promotion collaboration” with OG.com rather than a full product launch. This marks a significant shift from last year’s announcement of the ambitious Truth Predict project, which aimed to enable users to trade on various events through the platform.
Last October, Trump Media announced Truth Predict as a new feature for Truth Social, partnering with cryptocurrency firm Crypto.com. The initial plan was to allow users to convert platform currency into tokens and trade on predictions related to sports, elections, and inflation, with the goal of democratizing access to prediction markets. However, in its latest public filing, Trump Media states that Truth Predict remains “in development,” but will now be limited to a “marketing and promotion collaboration” with OG.com, a U.S.-based prediction market platform launched by Crypto.com in February 2026.
Neither Trump Media nor Crypto.com responded to inquiries about the specifics of this collaboration. The company’s spokesperson, Shannon Devine, told WIRED that they are “encouraged by the progress” and look forward to bringing the feature to Truth Social users, but details remain opaque. The collaboration is described as involving OG.com, which initially planned to allow margin trading—borrowing funds to place trades—but it is unclear if this feature will be part of the current partnership, as OG.com stated that “margin trading is not an offered product.”
Why It Matters
This development indicates a significant retreat from Trump Media’s previous ambitions for Truth Predict, reflecting possible internal challenges or strategic reevaluation. The shift also underscores the uncertain future of prediction markets within social media platforms, especially those associated with politically prominent figures. For the industry, it signals that even high-profile entrants like Trump Media may face hurdles in launching or sustaining prediction market services amid regulatory and market complexities.
For users and investors, the move suggests that a fully operational prediction market on Truth Social may be delayed or unlikely in the near term, affecting expectations around the platform’s expansion into financial and betting features. The collaboration’s limited scope also raises questions about the future of the project and whether it will evolve into a more comprehensive offering.
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Background
In 2025, Trump Media announced Truth Predict as part of its broader effort to integrate prediction markets into its social platform, leveraging a partnership with Crypto.com and its subsidiary OG.com. The project was part of a wave of interest from right-wing media companies and political figures in prediction markets, which are growing in popularity and controversy. The industry has seen legal and regulatory battles, with some states challenging companies like Polymarket and Kalshi, and federal regulators under the Biden administration taking a cautious stance. Meanwhile, Trump himself has expressed skepticism about prediction markets, though his associates have shown interest in the industry. The shift to a limited collaboration suggests internal reassessment amid these regulatory and market pressures.
“We’re encouraged by the progress we’ve made developing Truth Predict in partnership with CDNA and look forward to bringing this exciting feature to Truth Social’s users.”
— Shannon Devine, Trump Media spokesperson
“margin trading is not an offered product.”
— OG.com team
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What Remains Unclear
It remains unclear whether Truth Predict will eventually launch as a full prediction market or remain limited to promotional activities. Details about the scope, features, and timeline of the collaboration with OG.com are not publicly confirmed, and the future of the project is uncertain.
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What’s Next
Next steps include further clarification from Trump Media and OG.com about the collaboration’s scope and timeline. Observers will watch for any official updates or potential pilot launches, as well as regulatory developments that could impact prediction market operations.
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Key Questions
Will Trump Media still launch its own prediction market?
Based on current filings, the company indicates the project is limited to a promotional collaboration, and a full launch is not confirmed.
What is the nature of the collaboration with OG.com?
Details are not publicly available, but it is described as a “marketing and promotion” effort, with no clear indication of full product features or timeline.
Why did Trump Media scale back its plans?
The company has not officially explained the reasons, but the shift suggests internal or regulatory challenges, or strategic reevaluation.
Could the prediction market still launch in the future?
It remains possible, but there are no current indications of a firm timeline or confirmed plans beyond the limited collaboration.
